Market Profile Trading

Read the Auction Process Like a Pro

What is Market Profile?

Market Profile is a charting technique developed by Peter Steidlmayer to visualize how the market distributes price and time. Itโ€™s not a trading system, but a framework that shows you where the market spent most of its time (value) and where it moved quickly (imbalances).

Instead of only looking at price movement, Market Profile helps traders answer:

  • Where is the fair value of the market?
  • Is the market balanced or trending?
  • Which price levels are likely to attract or reject price today?

๐Ÿ”ธ What Market Profile Looks Like

Visually, Market Profile can be seen as a vertical distribution on the side of your price chart:

1324.00 |       A B C D E
1323.00 | A B C D E F G
1322.00 | A B C D E F G H I J (POC)
1321.00 | A B C D E F G
1320.00 | A B C D E

Each letter block represents a 30-minute session (A = first 30 min, B = next, etc.).


๐Ÿ”ธ How to Read a Market Profile

  1. POC (Point of Control): Strong magnet. Price often revisits it.
  2. Value Area (VAH & VAL): Use them as support/resistance. Breakouts above/below can signal imbalance.
  3. Developing Value: Watch how value is shifting across days. Is it overlapping (balanced) or migrating (trending)?
  4. Balanced vs. Imbalanced Profiles:
    • Balanced = Range market โ†’ Fade extremes
    • Imbalanced = Trending โ†’ Join the trend after pullback

Key Market Profile Terms

TermDefinition
TPO (Time Price Opportunity)Each time a price is traded during a specific time interval (usually 30 minutes).
Value Area (VA)The range where approximately 70% of TPOs occurred (considered fair value).
Point of Control (POC)The price level with the most TPOs โ€“ the fairest price of the session.
Value Area High (VAH)Top boundary of the value area โ€“ potential resistance.
Value Area Low (VAL)Bottom boundary of the value area โ€“ potential support.
High Volume Node (HVN)Price zone with high acceptance (market comfortable).
Low Volume Node (LVN)Price zone with low acceptance (market rejection zone).

How to Read Market Profile ( summary)

Market Profile is built on auction market theory:

  • When the market is balanced, price rotates between VAH and VAL.
  • When the market is imbalanced, price breaks away from value to find new value areas.

Key insights:

  • POC acts as a magnet for price during the session.
  • VAH/VAL often act as support/resistance.
  • LVNs can create strong reversals when tested.

Types of Market Profile Days

TypeBehaviorStrategy
Normal DayPrice stays in a small rangeFade extremes
Normal VariationSmall breakout after initial balanceTrade breakouts from balance
Trend DayPrice keeps moving in one directionTrade pullbacks in trend
Double DistributionTwo separate value areasTrade LVNs between areas
Neutral DayBreaks both sides of rangeFade toward POC

Proven and Tested Session Sentiment Strategy

Hereโ€™s a proven session sentiment approach:

  1. Open Inside Previous Day Value Area
    • Market accepted yesterdayโ€™s value โ†’ Expect balance
    • No trend trades unless a breakout occurs
  2. Open Outside Value Area but Inside Previous Day Range
    • VAH/VAL may act as bounce points
    • Look for rejection trades at value boundaries
  3. Open Outside Both Value Area and Range
    • Market in price discovery mode
    • Look for reversals or new value building

๐Ÿ”น Market Profile vs Volume Profile

  • Market Profile = based on time spent at price levels.
  • Volume Profile = based on volume traded at price levels.

โœ… Pro Tip: Use both together. Market Profile shows time-based acceptance, while Volume Profile shows actual participation.

๐Ÿ” Key Difference: What they measure

FeatureMarket Profile (MP)Volume Profile (VP)
FocusTime spent at each price levelVolume traded at each price level
Unit of MeasureTPOs (Time Price Opportunities) โ€“ shows how long price stayed thereActual trade volume at each price
Data BasisTime-based (e.g. 30-minute letters Aโ€“Z)Tick volume or real volume (if available)
More Accurate?More conceptual โ€“ based on time distributionMore precise โ€“ shows where traders put money

๐ŸŽฏ Example:

Letโ€™s say XAUUSD trades for 60 minutes:

  • Market Profile shows the price where the market spent the most time (POC based on TPO count).
  • Volume Profile shows the price where the market traded the most contracts/lots (POC based on volume).

โœ… So you might have a POC at 1952 in Market Profile but a Volume POC at 1950 in Volume Profile. That tells you:

“Price spent more time at 1952, but more orders were executed at 1950.”

That difference can be useful in understanding where the market was comfortable vs. where it was most active.


๐Ÿ“Š Visual Difference (simplified)

Market Profile (TPO):

lessCopierModifier1954.00 |     B C
1953.00 |   A B C D
1952.00 | A B C D E F G H I  โ† POC (most TPOs)
1951.00 |   A B C
1950.00 |     A

Volume Profile:

yamlCopierModifier1954.00 | โ–ˆโ–ˆ  (low volume)
1953.00 | โ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆ
1952.00 | โ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆ
1951.00 | โ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆ
1950.00 | โ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆ  โ† POC (highest volume)

Applying Market Profile to any instrument Ex, Gold (XAUUSD)

  1. Mark previous dayโ€™s VAH, VAL, POC before London open.
  2. Identify opening location relative to these levels.
  3. Watch for POC re-tests, VA bounces, and LVN rejections.
  4. Use Developing POC shift to confirm trend continuation.
  5. Combine with liquidity concepts for precision entries.

Final Thoughts

Market Profile is powerful because it reveals the marketโ€™s underlying auction process. By reading where the market found value yesterday, you can anticipate how it might behave today.

Key Takeaway:
Use yesterdayโ€™s value to determine todayโ€™s bias, combine with volume data for precision, and always confirm with price action.

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